Monday, October 18, 2004

October 18th polls

Tracking Polls: Zogby 45 45 1 tie
Rasmussen 47 47 tie
TIPP 49 45 2 Bush
ABC/WaPo 50 47 1 Bush

Others: CBS 47 45 2 Bush

As predicted the Sunday polling swung the tracking polls strongly in Kerry's favor. Some of the recent Fla, Pa and Ohio polls are troubling as well. I still think they are all bogus though and that Bush will win big, see previous posts for reasons. The tracking polls will be weak for Bush now until Thursday....or at least they should. TIPP must have some method for offsetting the Sunday bias....actually moved in favor of Bush.

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