Tuesday, October 19, 2004

October 19th polls

Tracking polls: Zogby 45 45 1 tie
Rasmussen 48 47 Bush
TIPP 48 46 2 Bush
ABC/WaPo 51 46 1 Bush

Others: NBC/WSJ 48 48 1 tie
Fox News 49 42 2 Bush

As expected the tracking polls have moved in Kerry's favor with Sunday in the mix. Thursday should be in favor of Bush. Lots of state polls show movement for Kerry, this doesn't jive with the national polls. I believe that the state polls are more easily manipulated and in ALL polls I think the Sept 11th effect is not understood.
Nothing has changed and I still predict a comfortable win, perhaps even a big win, for Bush.

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